Christopher Fogarty B.Sc, D.Met., M.Sc, Ph.D.
Canadian Hurricane Center / Atlantic Storm Prediction Center /
National Lab for Marine and Coastal Meteorology
|This site is operated by Chris Fogarty last update 30 June 2013
|Kerry Emanuel (external examiner) and I at Dalhousie University
after my PhD thesis Defence on March 3, 2006.
Richard Greatbatch (PhD supervisor) and I after the
graduation ceremony on May 29, 2006
Fogarty, C. T., 2010: Newfoundland’s Most Damaging Hurricane in 75 years: Preliminary Storm Summary. Canadian Meteor. and
Oceanogr. Soc. Bul., 38(6), 209-217.
Fogarty, C. T., 2010: A probabilistic wind speed forecast product blending NHC TC-based fields with a dynamical model
ensemble. 29th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 10-14 May, Tucson, AZ. Online at:
Toth, G., I. Gultepe, J. Milbrandt, B. Hansen, G. Pearson, C. Fogarty, and W. Burrows, 2010: The Environment Canada Handbook
on Fog and Fog Forecasting. Environment Canada, 117 pp. Available online at http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/science/arma/fog
Mecking, J. V., C. T. Fogarty, R. J. Greatbatch, J. Sheng, and D. Mercer, 2009: Using atmospheric model output to simulate the
meteorological tsunami response to Tropical Storm Helene (2000), J. Geophys. Res., 114, C10005, doi:10.1029/2009JC005290.
Fogarty, C. T., 2008: An analysis of along- and cross-track forecast errors and error biases for TCs in the Atlantic Basin. 28th
Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 28 April - 2 May, Orlando, FL. Online at: http://ams.confex.
Fogarty, C. T., R. J. Greatbatch, and H. Ritchie, 2007: The use of a vortex insertion technique to simulate the extratropical
transition of Hurricane Michael (2000). Wea. and Forecasting, 22, 480-500..
Fogarty, C. T., R. J. Greatbatch, and H. Ritchie, 2006: The role of anomalously warm sea surface temperatures on the intensity of
Hurricane Juan (2003) during its approach to Nova Scotia. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1484-1504.
Fogarty, C. T., 2006: The extratropical transition of Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005): Summary of forecasts and meteorological
observations. 27th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 24-28 April, Monterey, CA. Online at: http://ams.confex.
Fogarty, C. T., and J. R. Gyakum, 2005: A study of extratropical transition in the western North Atlantic Ocean, 1963-1996.
Atmosphere-Ocean, 43(2), 173-191.
Jones, D., and C. T. Fogarty, 2005: The acoustic heartbeat of Hurricane Juan. Acous. Res. Letters Online - J. of the Acous. Soc.
of Amer. 6(2), 85-91.
Abraham, J., W. Strapp, C. T. Fogarty, and M. Wolde, 2004: Extratropical transition of Hurricane Michael: An aircraft investigation.
Bul. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 1323-1339.
Fogarty, C. T., 2004: Aircraft data from rapidly-moving Hurricane Juan south of Nova Scotia. Preprints, 26th Conf. on Hurricanes
and Tropical Meteorology, 3-7 May 2004, Miami Beach, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 166-167.
Fogarty, C. T., 2004: Why did a category-2 hurricane hit Nova Scotia?: An explanation of the unusual intensity of Hurricane Juan.
Canadian Meteor. and Oceanogr. Soc. Bul., 32(2), 41-42.
Ma, S., H. Ritchie, J. R. Gyakum, J. Abraham, C. T. Fogarty, and R. McTaggart-Cowan, 2003: A study of the extratropical
reintensification of former Hurricane Earl using Canadian Meteorological Centre regional analyses and ensemble forecasts. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 131, 1342-1359.
Fogarty, C. T., 2002: Hurricane Michael, 17-20 October, 2000: Part I - Summary report and storm impact on Canada. Part II -
Forecast and warning critique. Meteorological Service of Canada, Atlantic Region Science Report Series 2002-01, 35 pp.
Available online at http://www.novaweather.net/Hurricane_Michael_files/Michael_MSC.pdf
Fogarty, C. T., 2002: Operational forecasting of extratropical transition. Preprints, 25th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical
Meteorology, 29 April - 3 May 2002, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 491-492.
Abraham, J., C. T. Fogarty, and W. Strapp, 2002: Extratropical transition of Hurricanes Michael and Karen: Storm reconnaissance
with the Canadian Convair 580 aircraft. Preprints, 25th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 29 April - 3 May 2002, San
Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 497-498.
That schematic with satellite examples: